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A2 Technical Working Group
The HIV Epidemic in Ho Chi Minh City: Where is it Going?
Description of Work
Vietnamese and English translation.
PEPFAR - The U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, n/d, 36 pp

Vietnamese title: Dòch HIV taïi thaønh phoá Hoà Chí Minh: Xu höôùng trong töông lai.

Reproduced with the kind permission of PEPFAR.


"To provide a firm evidence base for decision-making and strategic planning for the HIV epidemic, the Analysis and Advocacy project (A2) in Vietnam initially conducted an exhaustive review of historical and current HIV biological and behavioral data in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC). This review sought to understand the factors driving the epidemic in the city and examine the coverage and impact of earlier responses. In order to identify ways of strengthening the response in the future, the Asian Epidemic Model (AEM) was applied to build a scenario of the likely course of the epidemic if programs stay as they are today and, in conjunction with the GOALS model, to explore the impact of alternative prevention strategies and expanded resource allocation. Both GOALS and AEM models have been successfully used in several international settings to help countries with predicting their epidemics and allocating resources more effectively."

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